Updates: Week Ending October 10, 2025

The past week was probably one of the best weeks for me for quite some time. I felt like I finally got my groove back with consistent entries and trading the signals as they appeared. To keep emotions out of the equation, my exits were systematic through the use of trailing stop losses.I had quite a few wins over the past week, but I do want to put focus on two of them. Two big wins occurred on the NZDUSD pair and one on the EURAUD pair.

NZDUSD

The two trades I took on the NZDUSD pair are visualized in the chart above. Let’s start with the daily timeframe first, which can be viewed on the left side.

The daily timeframe indicates that this pair is in a downtrend. The EMA20 continues to remain below the EMA60. Although price has occasionally crossed above one or both EMAs, that’s fine.

I also plotted two horizontal levels. These help me determine momentum depending on how price reacts around them.

On the right-hand side, I show the 15-minute timeframe along with the two trades visualized. The first trade consisted of a sell entry as price exited the EMA band as well as crossed below the ascending trend line.

I trailed this trade until we neared the 5 p.m. EST rollover, which I decided to just close the trade. This was a very good call because the spreads widened dramatically during rollover, which would’ve resulted in me exiting at a far worse price.

On the following day, I noticed a horizontal level forming and entered another sell order. Fortunately for me, there was a fundamental catalyst that worked in my favor.

Donald Trump announced additional tariffs on China with stricter software export controls. I trailed this trade and decided to exit as I did not want to see a reversal happen near the end-of-week close.

NZDUSD

The second trade I took was on the EURAUD pair. On the left-hand side, the daily timeframe shows a 
weak downtrend throughout the past week.

EMA20 remained below EMA60, but price did remain above one or both EMAs at different points in time. This is where looking at a lower timeframe helps.

On the 15-minute timeframe on the right-hand side, I plotted an ascending trend line. Price crossed below this trend line. In parallel, price was also accelerating away from the EMA20 and EMA60, which was a good confluence signal that there’s momentum to the downside.

I basically trailed this trade and eventually closed when it seemed to start reversing. I think I definitely could’ve squeezed out a little bit more profit if I held for longer. However, nothing is certain and longer holding periods usually mean the momentum can die off.

In my opinion, this is exactly what happened here. Momentum did die off as the price crossed above EMA 20 before another selling wave occurred. Again, it was technically possible for me to hold the trade for longer at the risk of more uncertain momentum.